2011

Analysis For Future Conflict
Parkhotel, St. Leonhard Uberlingen, Germany
28 March – 1 April 2010

Contributed Papers

Opening Session Chair – Dr. A.E.R. Woodcock

Mr. David Mason – Analysis of Strategies for Future Conflicts: Lessons from Cornwallis XV and the Afghanistan Experience [ppt] [pdf]

Mr. Paul Strong – Modelling the ‘violence paradox’ in irregular warfare and terrorism [ppt][pdf]

Session Chair – Mr. Dave Mason

Mr. Paul Massel – Applications and Implications on Future Security Operations arising from the NATO Joint Operations 2030 Long Term Scientific Study [ppt] [pdf]

Ms Samantha Mitchell – Maximising Understanding in a Complex Environment [ppt][pdf]

Mr. Dayton Maxwell and Mr. Mark Sweberg via Skype – Comprehensive approach to building partnerships handbook and reference guide [ppt]

Session Chair – Mr Anthony Hopkin

The future of conflict – Libya after UNSCR 1973: A discussion of current events.  Facilitated by Dr. Anton Minkov

Dr. Anton Minkov – Short-Term Demographics Change in the Middle East, Social Upheaval and Regime Change: The Case of Iran [pdf]

Dr. Mike Baranick – A generalized model for the drivers of instability within states [ppt]

Session Chair – Mr. Karl Bertsche

Dr. A.E.R. Woodcock – Climate Change, Predator-Prey-Harvesting (PPH) and Policy Cycle Management (PCM) Models [ppt]

Ms Christine Kolbe – Evaluating interventions in fragile and conflict-affected states [ppt]

Ms Heidi Davis – Tracing the Flow of Small Arms West Africa: Linking Disarmament and Demobilization to Small Arms Trafficking in Cote d’Ivoire [ppt]

Session Chair – Dr. George Rose

Ms Ann Campbell - An Integrated Strategic Framework for Stabilization and Reconstruction in Liberia [ppt]

Col. (ret.) Christopher Holshek via Skype – Multinational Civil-Military Approaches to Transition to Peace Management - The Liberia Experience [ppt]

Prof. Dave Davis - Metrics Modeling as base for Simulations of Complex Environments [ppt]